Indonesia Daily Focus November 27, 2020

 

Integra Indocabinet Tbk (WOOD IJ) - Climbing up the money tree

WOOD booked solid results in 9M20 with a net profit of IDR189.3bn, inching up by 3.9% from last year’s figure of IDR182.2bn. Revenue jumped 34% YoY on the back of stronger sales to the US.

The US has implemented trade war tariffs on imported Chinese products since July 2018, which has affected China's export to the US. That resulted in a significant decrease of 35.9% in China's furniture export to the US market in 2019. 

Even during the pandemic, WOOD expanded its capacity/production for several product lines: 1) Millwork (double capacity in 2019, triple capacity in 2020); 2) wooden blind (25 containers/month in 2019, 50 containers/month in 2020); and, 3) plywood (double capacity in 2020).

Unlike Vietnamese furniture producers which have to import raw materials, which are subject to log price fluctuations, WOOD is able to enjoy stable supply from its own forest and Indonesia's vast tropical forest area. Logs export ban also ensures stable domestic wood supply. As a note, 80% of COGS are raw materials, i.e. wood. Thus, securing wood supply is the key to maintaining stable production.

Currently, WOOD is trading at IDR590/share, implying trailing FY20 P/E of 14,7x . Risks include: 
1) Lower-than-expected earnings; 2) forex volatility; and, 3) trade war.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

ADA MASA DEPAN

KITA SUNGGUH BERHARGA

KUNCI BERKAT