Indonesia Daily Focus November 25, 2020

 

Supra Boga Lestari (RANC IJ) – Bloom amidst the gloom

Supra Boga Lestari (RANC IJ/Not Rated) is a leading premium supermarket chain operator which is widely known for its two main brands, namely Ranch Market and Farmers Market, targeting mid-to-high income households.

RANC benefits from the rising spending on staples and fresh produce during the early implementation of large-scale social restrictions (PSBB) back in April in most big cities in Indonesia.

As PSBB has been relaxed, high-end shopping centers, where most of RANC’s stores are located, fare better at retaining traction compared to those lower-end ones. 

Modern trade has gained higher market share during this pandemic year with super/hypermarkets underperforming minimarkets. Despite this, RANC managed to see impressive sales growth, thanks to its locations inside most of prime locations in Indonesia. As of 9M20, RANC managed to book sales of IDR2,302bn (+29.1% YoY) and a net profit of IDR65bn (+78.3% YoY) despite poor macro backdrop.

Assuming annualized 20F EPS of IDR55/share and conservative EPS growth of 5% YoY for 21F due to 20F high base, RANC is currently trading at 21F P/E of 7.1x, close to its -1 SD and 68% discount to average retailer peers’ valuation. 

We view RANC as a rare play considering its low stock turnover and liquidity. RANC is considered a small cap with market cap of below IDR1tr and floating share of 25.2%.

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